Seriously, no one correlates recent spike with Russian invasion? Estimate the enormous amount of CO2 emitted from Russian ballistic and cruise missiles, jets, tanks, navy, explosions, cities burnt to the ground, oil reservoirs and refineries on fire, etc. Effects of war are order of magnitude larger than switching from 30 MPG car to 40 MPG car. Do you think such a massive war CO2 footprint does not affect US? You are wrong.
That is kind of the problem. There is nothing but panic and no attempt to isolate variables. We had a 3-year La Niña cycle that hasn't happened since 1998-2001 (remember the hockey stick?) and before that 1954-57. The recent La Niña phase went straight into El Niño and there was an insane amount of wildfires due to drought. The entire Gulf Coast of the US had marsh fires, of all things.
Though with the many different theaters of conflict right now that are setting records of their own, plus the solar activity has been rather interesting (the readjustment of the eclipse totality projections was getting pretty crazy, now Northern Lights in the lower 48 states).
They don't even isolate data from downwind stations from metro areas' Urban Heat Island effect, so anything from those reporting stations is already working with tainted data. You'd have to rely entirely on rural station reporting, or just stations not within 200-300 miles of the UHI-affected areas.
Now, another variable that needs to be removed, is redoing all research in the West about fossil fuel exploitation, since nearly all research for fracking and other extraction techniques and for climate modeling was heavily funded by Russia when Putin took the reins of the country. They were using the funding to disrupt production in the West, while leaving themselves to reap the rewards by not following the recommendations of all those studies and outproducing their adversaries' exports.
https://www.forbes.com/sites/jeffmcmahon/2015/03/12/russians-financed-the-u-s-anti-fracking-movement...
https://www.windtaskforce.org/profi...i-fracking-movement-nrcm-sierra-club-nrdc-sea
They did a similar program to cut our nuclear energy, weapon manufacturing, and refinement capacity down through an initiative called the World Peace Council in the 1950s. It managed to reach fevered pitch during the 60s and they council was very effective. The peace sign that everyone has seen at one point in life came from their propaganda department. The entire hippie movement was joined at the hip with them, and nuclear fuel recycling was eliminated by Carter, so the worst possible outcome did happen. Now nuclear waste in the United States consists of fuel that can be reused. We're talking over 100 years of energy sitting there doing nothing.
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/nucl...ouse-spending-bill_n_65ea3392e4b0c77c7415c026
This was a book forgotten by history, but it had great detail of the WPC programs and the reasons for its existence.
https://archive.org/details/struggleagainstb00lawr_0/mode/2up
Now am I saying climate fears are unfounded? Not at all. Is there tainted data? Unfortunately, there is too much of it. There are very real and present dangers. When people let politicization of an issue take place, and you put studies in the hands of partisans and bad-faith actors like Russia, we get bad data. Now you have people whose egos and careers are spent defending the results of their tainted studies, instead of reviewing them objectively. I just want accurate modeling to move policy in the right direction and pace.
We don't need many studies to show plastic in everything is causing some serious issues, and it would be nice to not need crude, but the problem is we are struggling badly without decent energy density storage.
Wind isn't reliable unless placed offshore with minimal risk of endangered bird strikes and inland farms still mulch endangered species, a lot. The Sierra Club's default stance was no; pick places of least impact and windmill densities.
https://vault.sierraclub.org/sierra/201303/wind-power-turbine-technology-birds.aspx
Now after years of tainted data, this is their position now:
https://www.sierraclub.org/sierra/bird-whale-turbine-offshore-wind-science
Solar is best as a grid load alleviator (not a power plant replacement) and we need to commission more passively cooled reactors years ago (give me pebble bed, give me molten salt reactor, just give me something that is more than what we have).
The West must also stop causing the further crippling of industries and ask the countries causing the worst problems to meet the common commitments for actually solving issues that we are subjecting ourselves to, but not them. Nothing is going to get done when all our imports are operating dirtier than we are for domestic production. You can go to Windy.com at any time to see where the problem is in real time. We need environmental parity protective tariffs to solve this, and they needed to happen 15 years ago. Things can get better, but the panic dogma has to be addressed.We are crippling the industries that can operate under good climate control protocols, while China gives the finger to the world.